Trends that The Pragmatic Engineer reported on, well before mainstream media outlets picked up on these:
On cutting back on cloud costs & vendor spend
- First reported this trend in Are tech companies aggressively cutting back on vendor spend? (21 Feb 2023).
- 2 months later by the Wall Street Journal confirmed the trend in Corporate technology under new scrutiny amid recession fears (28 Apr 2023)
On Apple enforcing it's return to office (RTO) policy
- First shared this exclusive in The Scoop #37 (2 Feb 2023)
- Nearly 2 months later: Business Insider, Apple Insider, and 9to5 Mac published the same story
On Apple going against the job cuts tide
- First analyzed this trend in Apple: the only Big Tech giant going against the Job cuts tide (26 Jan 2023)
- 2 weeks later, Bloomberg ran a similar analysis: Apple avoids job cuts because it didn’t overhire like Google and Amazon (10 Feb 2023)
On the Big Tech hiring slowdown
- First reported in trend in The Big Tech hiring slowdown is here and it will hurt (27 Oct 2022)
- 1 month later, The New York Times reported on the same trend: Computer science students face a shrinking Big Tech job market
On the very hot 2021 job market
- First analyzed this trend in The perfect storm causing an insane tech hiring market ( 14 Sep 2021)
- 6 months later, The New York Times came to the same conclusion in Tech companies face a fresh crisis: hiring (16 Feb 2022)
Analysis pieces that correctly predicted events
On Lyft to potentially see job cuts
- First analyzed this in The Scoop #43: is Lyft in trouble? (30 March 2023)
- A month later, Lyft announced 26% cuts across the board.
Analysis that turned out to be incorrect
I cannot predict the future and am sometimes wrong about how events will play out. I reflect on when this happens.
For example, throughout 2022 I regularly reported how both my analysis, and details from software engineers at Meta pointed to layoffs being a low likelihood (e.g. Meta's historic growth challenge in October 2022).
Meta did layoffs in November 2022, which I reflected on here.